今日Ultima Markets 为您带来了 2024年 7月 12日美元指数的深入分析。 

基本面要点 

• 美国通胀下行：周四，由于美国CPI全线下降增强了美联储将很快开始降息的希望，美元指数盘中跳水，一度逼近104关口，最终收跌0.523%，报104.46。 

• 降息预期提升：CPI报告发布后，投资者调高了对美联储今年将降息两次的押注，第三次降息的几率也有所攀升，这意味着美联储可能在今年最后三次会议上降息，即9月、11月和12月。 

技术分析 

日线图表分析 

（美元指数日线图，来源Ultima Markets MT4） 

• 随机摆动指标：指标快线与慢线纠缠，昨日美盘时段的反弹暗示当前下方有强支撑价位，阻止美元指数进一步下跌。 

• 支撑阻力：美元指数在跌破短期均线组红色33日均线和黑色65均线后，出现回踩在突破的结构，昨日快速下跌接近前期低点。通常理论上快速下跌接近支撑线，市价有反弹的概率。 

1小时图表分析 

（美元指数1小时图，来源Ultima Markets MT4） 

• 随机震荡指标：动能柱放缓走平，有再度上穿红色均线的概率。但是值得注意的是，在没有明确发出多头信号前，暂时视为金价为调整结构。 

• 支撑阻力：美元指数在104左右出现看跌吞没形态，暗示金价迎来下行调整。若该指数收线于附近支撑为之下，估计它将在中期延续跌势。 

Trading Central枢纽线指标 

（美元指数30分钟图，来源Ultima Markets APP） 

• 根据Ultima Markets APP中的Trading Central枢纽线指标，当日中枢价位104.80， 

• 104.80之上看涨，第一目标105.00，第二目标105.20 

• 104.80之下看跌，第一目标104.25，第二目标104.08 

免责声明  

本文所含评论、新闻、研究、分析、价格及其他资料只能视作一般市场资讯，仅为协助读者了解市场形势而提供，并不构成投资建议。Ultima Markets已采取合理措施确保资料的准确性，但不能保证资料的精确度，及可随时更改而毋须作出通知。Ultima Markets不会为直接或间接使用或依赖此等资料而可能引致的任何亏损或损失（包括但不限于任何盈利的损失）负责。  

Willy

Willly is a skilled and experienced market analyst who has been analyzing financial markets for over 5 years. He currently serves as a Market Analyst at Ultima Markets, a leading financial services company. Willy brings a wealth of expertise in fundamental and technical analysis, having previously worked as Head of Financial Market Analyst at GCMAsia. There, he oversaw the research department and developed educational materials to build clients' financial knowledge. He also collaborated cross-functionally to amplify sales and achieve business goals. Prior to that role, Willy gained valuable experience as a Financial Market Analyst at the same company. He generated daily and weekly reports, conducted market briefings, and provided trading strategies through webinars. Read his latest market analyses on the Ultima Markets News & Analysis.

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